Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.020954 0.022632 0.024380 0.026339 0.028474 0.030734 0.033306
2025-10-19 0.018213 0.020622 0.023266 0.026389 0.029987 0.034009 0.038857
2025-10-26 0.016357 0.019178 0.022396 0.026351 0.031100 0.036637 0.043613
2025-11-02 0.014988 0.018074 0.021706 0.026317 0.032043 0.038958 0.047996
2025-11-09 0.013694 0.016908 0.020790 0.025856 0.032332 0.040390 0.051260
2025-11-16 0.012616 0.015900 0.019962 0.025391 0.032512 0.041611 0.054240
2025-11-23 0.011854 0.015226 0.019483 0.025301 0.033117 0.043354 0.057947
2025-11-30 0.011145 0.014562 0.018961 0.025094 0.033516 0.044803 0.061292
2025-12-07 0.010545 0.013998 0.018524 0.024955 0.033968 0.046310 0.064765
2025-12-14 0.009981 0.013447 0.018064 0.024742 0.034281 0.047609 0.067984
2025-12-21 0.009567 0.013072 0.017817 0.024799 0.034957 0.049434 0.072043
2025-12-28 0.009137 0.012650 0.017476 0.024692 0.035375 0.050884 0.075605
2026-01-04 0.008782 0.012332 0.017287 0.024823 0.036194 0.053035 0.080482
2026-01-11 0.008424 0.011991 0.017049 0.024872 0.036894 0.055056 0.085308
2026-01-18 0.008070 0.011638 0.016770 0.024836 0.037453 0.056876 0.089918
2026-01-25 0.007746 0.011309 0.016508 0.024804 0.038002 0.058696 0.094628
2026-02-01 0.007341 0.010839 0.016008 0.024372 0.037887 0.059435 0.097561
2026-02-08 0.006965 0.010394 0.015524 0.023937 0.037732 0.060086 0.100362
2026-02-15 0.006702 0.010110 0.015272 0.023853 0.038139 0.061673 0.104874
2026-02-22 0.006430 0.009800 0.014964 0.023659 0.038346 0.062924 0.108857
2026-03-01 0.006190 0.009529 0.014705 0.023529 0.038646 0.064341 0.113216
2026-03-08 0.005950 0.009247 0.014414 0.023329 0.038811 0.065522 0.117203
2026-03-15 0.005778 0.009067 0.014278 0.023382 0.039413 0.067497 0.122800